Current Plot Fit:
Fit: 061 000 [ 7 ] 061 [ 4 ] 000 [ 7 ]
Current Contention:
[ qI% 27 18 27 18 | 11 h ]
Current Speed Rate:
19-Myth[0.82] nAboveMyth[2] nHorses[11] SpeedRatio[.19]
10-Myth[0.82] nAboveMyth[1] nHorses[11] SpeedRatio[.10]
Contention New:
STD / SURF / DIST / SD
Speed Rate New:
| PN | $2 Win | $2 Place | $2 Show |
| 5 | $7.40 | $4.20 | $2.40 |
| 9 | - | $7.60 | $3.60 |
| 2 | - | - | $2.10 |
| Wager Type | Winners | Paid |
| $1 Exacta |
5- 9
5
-
9
|
$24.20 |
| $1 Trifecta |
5- 9- 2
5
-
9
-
2
|
$40.70 |
| $0.10 Superfecta |
5- 9- 2- 3
5
-
9
-
2
-
3
|
$24.99 |
| $2 Daily Double |
4- 5
4
-
5
|
$54.20 |
| PN | Horse | RS | Jockey | Trainer | ML | Odds | Fin | oNg | Your Ratings | Focus Ratings | Fair Odds | Edge | Insights | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OMIT | JARAMILLO E | MCCARTHY MICHAEL W |
12
|
12.7
|
11
|
C
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
First-time starter debuting in a highly populated field. With no prior speed or class metrics to evaluate, [h:1-OMIT] is treated as data-insufficient.
Downsides:
Inexperience in a large 11-horse field is a significant hurdle.
Assessment
Form
Unknown
Since [h:1-OMIT] has never raced, there is no historical data to evaluate a form cycle.
Speed
Unknown
No speed figures to analyze.
Plot
Unknown
Unplotted as a first-time starter.
Class
Unknown
No class metrics exist for this first-time starter.
|
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| 2 | LITTLE KING | RISPOLI UMBERTO | PAPAPRODROMOU GEORGE |
1.4
|
0.9
|
3
|
B-
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:2-LITTLE KING] stands out with an [og:B] grade on this surface last out, overcoming a difficult [keyword:X_FLOW] trip. As a developing 2-year-old, his [a:NT] is a reliable Type 1 developmental signal.
Downsides:
Could be vulnerable if the pace scenario becomes too congested.
Assessment
Form
Positive
Earning an [og:B] with an [a:NT] in his fourth start indicates positive developmental progression. The [a:TG30] alert confirms this upward trajectory.
Race 4 of cycle:
Entering his fourth career start with consecutive improvements.
Speed
Positive
Boasts a field-leading Above speed index with a recent 86 speed figure that fits the expected par flawlessly.
Plot
Positive
Sits favorably in Q1 as a Square, which aligns perfectly with his [rs:PC:pass] runstyle.
Class
Positive
His Above class index shows he is extremely well-placed against this maiden special weight group.
|
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| 3 | D'S FOUR THUMBS UP | AYUSO ARMANDO | ORDONEZ AGGIE |
10
|
19
|
4
|
B-
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:3-D'S FOUR THUMBS UP] showed late interest last out earning a [keyword:CLOSE] upgrade, which is a strong hidden positive on dirt. His [a:NTLP] alert hints at improving stamina.
Downsides:
Has never raced on turf, posing a notable surface transition risk.
Assessment
Form
Positive
Improving cycle with an [a:NT] and [a:NTLP] in his second career start. The [keyword:CLOSE] note indicates he is learning to finish.
Race 2 of cycle:
This is his second career start following a strong learning effort.
Speed
Neutral
His speed figures are slightly below the top contenders, but his late pace is clearly developing.
Plot
Neutral
Plots as a Q4 Square, properly matching his [rs:C:pass] runstyle.
Class
Neutral
His Average+ class index shows he is competitive, though switching surfaces adds a layer of variability.
|
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| 4 | GO BIG OR GO HOME | BAUTISTA ALFREDO L | SADLER JOHN W |
20
|
13.3
|
10
|
C+
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:4-GO BIG OR GO HOME] is making his debut and lacks the historical data needed to elevate his win probability.
Downsides:
Must overcome a lack of race experience against rivals with proven form.
Assessment
Form
Unknown
No historical races to establish a form cycle.
Speed
Unknown
Has no speed figures to project forward.
Plot
Unknown
Unplotted as a first-time starter.
Class
Unknown
Lacks class data to compare against the field.
|
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| 5 | CHISELED IN STONE | HERNANDEZ JUAN J | KNAPP STEVE |
2
|
2.7
|
1
|
B
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:5-CHISELED IN STONE] has solid indices across the board and an [og:B-] on turf in his most recent start. His Above class and plot indices ensure a competitive floor.
Downsides:
Received a [keyword:COVER] downgrade on turf last out, indicating he may have been flattered by the trip.
Assessment
Form
Neutral
Maintaining form in his third start with consistent grades, though the [a:RW3] from earlier indicates he has a ceiling.
Race 3 of cycle:
Entering his third start with stabilizing maiden form.
Speed
Positive
An Above speed index shows he has the early burst required to contend here.
Plot
Positive
Plots well as a Q1 Square, fitting nicely with his [rs:E:pass] runstyle standard.
Class
Positive
His Average+ class index suggests he is properly classed for this maiden event.
|
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| 6 | TAPIT'S GHOST | VALDIVIA J JR | ALVAREZ EDWIN G |
30
|
73.9
|
7
|
C+
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
As a first-time starter, [h:6-TAPIT'S GHOST] must be treated cautiously without prior data to assess.
Downsides:
Debuting in a large field is a tough task.
Assessment
Form
Unknown
Does not have a form cycle yet.
Speed
Unknown
No speed figures to reference.
Plot
Unknown
Cannot be plotted.
Class
Unknown
No class ratings available.
|
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| 7 | SOUTHERN BOY | FREY KYLE | IVORY JOHN C |
30
|
65.8
|
9
|
C+
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:7-SOUTHERN BOY] is an unproven first-time starter whose true ability is masked until he runs.
Downsides:
Lack of racing experience.
Assessment
Form
Unknown
No previous starts to build a cycle.
Speed
Unknown
Speed metrics are unavailable.
Plot
Unknown
Unplotted.
Class
Unknown
Class index is missing.
|
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| 8 | MRSAINTPATRICK | MALDONADO E | O'NEILL DOUG |
20
|
27.8
|
5
|
B-
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:8-MRSAINTPATRICK] struggled with a [keyword:NO_KEEP] effort last out and earned weak speed figures. His Below- indices make him an easy toss.
Downsides:
Lacks the speed, class, and form to compete with the top contenders.
Assessment
Form
Negative
Declining cycle marked by a [keyword:WARM] negative and an inability to sustain his bid in his latest effort.
Race 3 of cycle:
Third career start showing regression rather than improvement.
Speed
Negative
His Below- speed index and 58 speed figure fall well short of the required par.
Plot
Negative
Plots poorly as a Q3 Circle, offering no geometric advantage for today's race.
Class
Negative
His Below- class index confirms he is overmatched at this maiden level.
|
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| 9 | SMOKE RIDER | ROSARIO JOEL | FARIAS ADAN |
15
|
11
|
2
|
B-
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:9-SMOKE RIDER] showed subtle improvement earning a [keyword:NO_COVER] upgrade on turf last out. With Above plot and Average+ speed indices, he is a logical contender.
Downsides:
His [keyword:NO_COVER] trip was demanding, and he needs to prove he can finish stronger to win.
Assessment
Form
Positive
Progressing nicely in his second start off a brief freshening, earning a Type 1 [a:NT] developmental peak.
Race 4 of cycle:
Fourth career start and second race off a freshening.
Speed
Positive
Average+ speed index fits well with the field's dynamics and par requirements.
Plot
Positive
Plots well as a Q1 Square on standard, providing a solid tactical advantage.
Class
Positive
Average+ class index shows he is appropriately spotted here.
|
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| 10 | HALLAGREY | VAN DYKE DRAYDEN | PUYPE MIKE |
30
|
33.9
|
6
|
C+
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:10-HALLAGREY] presents massive hidden upside after receiving a [keyword:TROUBLES+] premium excuse last out. His [og:EX] grade combined with a [keyword:GALLOP+] finish makes him a major sleeper.
Downsides:
Needs a clean break from the gate to properly capitalize on his late running ability.
Assessment
Form
Positive
His last race is a complete throwaway due to severe trouble at the start. The [keyword:GALLOP+] note suggests underlying fitness remains strong.
Race 3 of cycle:
Third start overall, with the previous race serving as a complete throwaway due to trouble.
Speed
Neutral
His Below speed index is deceptive because his figures were dragged down by deeply troubled trips.
Plot
Positive
Plots as a Q4 Square, which is extremely dangerous if the pace scenario heats up.
Class
Positive
His Above class index demonstrates he has the latent ability to compete favorably in this field.
|
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| 11 | MORNING GLASS | KIMURA KAZUSHI | FREEMAN EDWARD R |
10
|
23.1
|
8
|
C+
|
No Rating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Reasoning:
[h:11-MORNING GLASS] gets a highly predictive conditional upgrade with a [keyword:TURF?] projection matching today's surface. He flashed potential on dirt and should move forward here.
Downsides:
Needs to prove the projection translates to actual performance on the grass.
Assessment
Form
Positive
Improving in his second start, earning a [keyword:TURF?] projection that sets up perfectly for today's [a:SCT] alert.
Race 2 of cycle:
Second career start following an educational debut.
Speed
Neutral
He carries an Average- speed index, but the surface change could easily unlock a new top.
Plot
Neutral
His Q3 Circle shape is uninspiring, but the projection keyword takes precedence over geometry.
Class
Neutral
Average+ class index suggests he fits the maiden level well.
|
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