OptixPlot | SA (R4) 2026-10-25

PN	$2 Win	$2 Place	$2 Show
4	$12.20	$6.60	$4.00
5	-	$9.60	$5.00
1	-	-	$6.00

Wager Type	Winners	Paid
$1 Exacta	4- 5 4 - 5	$32.40
$1 Trifecta	4- 5- 1 4 - 5 - 1	$260.30
$0.10 Superfecta	4- 5- 1- 3 4 - 5 - 1 - 3	$81.97
$2 Daily Double	7- 4 7 - 4	$31.80

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Odds

Fin

oNg

Your Ratings

Focus Ratings

Fair Odds

Edge

Insights

TIGGRRR WHITWORTH

FLORES P

MORFIN SERGIO

16.8

B-

TIER 2

Reasoning: [h:1-TIGGRRR WHITWORTH] has been a consistent presence at this route condition, earning consecutive [og:B-] grades while matching the top of today's speed figure range. Drawing the rail with a validated [rs:EP:pass] profile and an early-speed advantage in the upper-left quadrant, he projects for a favorable forward trip.

Downsides: [h:1-TIGGRRR WHITWORTH] is deep into a lengthy campaign with a terminal [a:NT] profile and a Circle shape, leaving him vulnerable late if pressured early by [h:4-DESERT KAT].

Assessment

Form

Neutral

[h:1-TIGGRRR WHITWORTH] has been racing continuously without a 45-day break across his past ten starts, making his recent [a:NT] a terminal Type 3 signal late in a long cycle. However, he has held his form reliably in three of his last four route starts with steady [og:B-] grades and no major negative keywords in his last two outings.

Race 11 of cycle: Every recorded start in his past performances has occurred with fewer than 45 days of rest, placing him in at least the eleventh race of an extended form cycle. He is maintaining a steady plateau at this level, though upside for further figure growth is limited.

Speed

Positive

[h:1-TIGGRRR WHITWORTH] carries a slightly above average Speed Index and has earned figures at the very top of today's expected winning range in each of his last two starts. His early and mid-race pace metrics match par for this level, giving him a solid speed foundation.

Plot

Positive

He holds a slightly above average Plot Index and sits in the favorable upper-left quadrant on both views with a validated [rs:EP:pass] runstyle. His Circle polarity highlights weak late pace, meaning he relies on his tactical early speed to build a cushion.

Class

Positive

With an average Class Index and multiple in-the-money finishes against older horses at this class level, [h:1-TIGGRRR WHITWORTH] fits the race conditions well. His consistent [og:B-] grades confirm he is properly placed to contend.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8f	SA 10/12/26 R1 SA 9/27/26 R5 DMR 8/27/26 R8	Clm 5000 Clm 16000n3l Clm 16000n3l	B- B- C	83 83 40	4 2 9	WARM,PRESSED PRESSED,SAVED NASAL_S,RUSH,X_WIDE,NO_KEEP,NO_PUSH	oG:NT:Last Race HIGHEST OptixFIG in last 48 months:83:83\|83\|40\|81\|82\|29\|76\|62\|44\|78\|73\|65\|72\|65\|53	0.25	0.5	0	0.75	.-. L-b

MILLBO BAGGINS

AGUILAR ARMANDO

RAUDALES JOSE

36.5

C+

TOSS

Reasoning: [h:2-MILLBO BAGGINS] enters with below average Speed and Class Indexes and a well below average Plot Index, having earned consecutive [og:C+] grades since his pace-aided ([keyword:TACTIC+]) victory three starts back. Plotting in the lower-left quadrant with a Circle, he lacks both the early velocity to clear and the late stamina to finish.

Downsides: [h:2-MILLBO BAGGINS] is deficient across all three primary Optix indexes and shows declining form in a prolonged campaign.

Assessment

Form

Negative

[h:2-MILLBO BAGGINS] is in the tenth start of a long form cycle, having regressed to consecutive [og:C+] efforts and lower speed figures since peaking with a red-keyword [keyword:TACTIC+] win in August. Returning on a 44-day gap keeps him in the same tiring cycle without a true layoff reset.

Race 10 of cycle: Since his 263-day layoff return in January, every subsequent start has been spaced at 44 days or fewer, making this the tenth race in his current cycle. His recent ten-point figure drop over his last two starts signals a declining trend.

Speed

Negative

His below average Speed Index is reflected in his last two speed figures, which fall seven points below the bottom of today's expected winning range. Only his ideal-trip win three back approached the lower end of today's par.

Plot

Negative

Despite a validated [rs:EP:pass] runstyle, he carries a well below average Plot Index and sits in the unfavorable lower-left quadrant with a Circle on both views. He is out-positioned early by faster rivals in the upper-left quadrant and lacks the late pace to compensate.

Class

Negative

With a below average Class Index, [h:2-MILLBO BAGGINS] has struggled when facing winners at this par rating, finishing sixth in both attempts since breaking his N2L condition. He appears overmatched against the top contenders here.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	5.5f 8f 8f	LRC 9/11/26 R6 DMR 8/27/26 R8 DMR 8/1/26 R6	Clm 20000n3l Clm 16000n3l Clm 12500n2l	C+ C+ B	70 70 80	6 6 1	COVER,MOVE WARM,SAVED NASAL_S,WARM,SPACED,TACTIC+,FREE,MOVE	oN:RW3:RED KEYWORDS in 3rd RACE back:1\|TACTIC+	-1.01	-2.11	-0.84	-3.96	.-. L-

COURT OF APPEAL

FREY KYLE

CERIN VLADIMIR

4.5

C+

TIER 3+

Reasoning: [h:3-COURT OF APPEAL] holds a well above average Class Index and finally receives the class relief projected by three consecutive [keyword:DROP?] keywords in his prior starts. Returning off a 132-day layoff with a validated [rs:P:pass] stalking profile, his class edge makes him a viable win candidate in this softer spot.

Downsides: [h:3-COURT OF APPEAL] returns from a 132-day layoff without lasix, has a large Circle on the surface/distance plot, and his slightly below average Speed Index leaves him needing a forward step on figures.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

[h:3-COURT OF APPEAL] kicks off a new short-term form cycle following a 132-day layoff after struggling against much tougher allowance and higher-level claiming company in the spring. The combination of a fresh reset and a significant class drop aligns directly with his prior [keyword:DROP?] projections.

Race 1 of cycle: The 132-day break since his June 15 start initiates a brand new form cycle. While he has fired fresh in the past, he will need to rebound from consecutive [og:C] grades earned against tougher competition.

Speed

Neutral

With a slightly below average Speed Index, his route speed figures sit just below the bottom of today's expected winning range, though he reached the top of the range in a sprint win earlier this year. He will need the class drop to help him carry his speed around two turns.

Plot

Neutral

He carries a slightly above average Plot Index and a validated [rs:P:pass] runstyle, sitting in the lower-right quadrant as a Square on standard form and upper-right on surface/distance. However, his large Circle on the surface/distance view raises questions about his finishing kick at a full mile.

Class

Positive

[h:3-COURT OF APPEAL] stands out with a well above average Class Index, dropping out of races that rated well above today's par. Fulfilling the conditional [keyword:DROP?] projection from his last three starts triggers a major class upgrade today.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D T D	8.5f 8f 6f	SA 6/15/26 R6 SA 4/2/26 R6 TUP 2/24/26 R2	AffirmedL100k OClm 80000n1x OClm 50000n2x	C C B	76 69 84	7 5 1	SAVED,FREE,DROP? WARM,TROUBLE_S,PREP?,DROP? TROUBLE_S,SAVED,CLOSE,FLOW,GALLOP+		-0.54	0.21	1.67	1.34	.-. L-b

DESERT KAT

LAPRIDA JEREMY

PAPAPRODROMOU GEORGE

5.1

TIER 3

Reasoning: [h:4-DESERT KAT] comes off a sharp sprint victory where he was [keyword:BOS] and earned a [a:NT] figure above today's top range, while also holding an above average Plot Index that triggers the mandatory Tier 3 floor. Making his [a:2LO:SECOND START after 45+ day LAYOFF] with [a:TG30], he has the early speed to impact the race from the start.

Downsides: [h:4-DESERT KAT] has a well below average Class Index and faces a terminal Type 3 [a:NT] profile while stretching out to a route distance where he previously failed to keep up ([keyword:NO_KEEP]).

Assessment

Form

Negative

[h:4-DESERT KAT] is in the second start of his current form cycle ([a:2LO]) after winning fresh off a 48-day break with a career-top figure. However, because that [a:NT] was fourteen points higher than his prior top and is followed by an unproven stretchout in distance and a class rise, it classifies as a Type 3 terminal peak with regression risk.

Race 2 of cycle: His September 25 race followed a 48-day layoff to start a new cycle, making today his second race back. Despite the normally favorable [a:2LO] spot, stretching out off a big sprint spike introduces bounce risk.

Speed

Positive

With a slightly above average Speed Index, his recent sprint figure exceeds today's par range, though his lone route effort produced a figure right at the bottom of today's expected range. Translating his sprint velocity to eight furlongs is his primary hurdle.

Plot

Neutral

He holds an above average Plot Index, plotting in the upper-left quadrant as a Circle on standard form and in the lower-left quadrant as a Square on surface/distance. His surface/distance runstyle validation is unknown due to having only one prior route start, leaving his two-turn stamina in question.

Class

Negative

[h:4-DESERT KAT] has a well below average Class Index, stepping up from a lower-rated sprint victory into a tougher route claiming group. In his lone prior attempt at this route level in May, he weakened to finish fifth with a [og:C+] grade.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	5.5f 5.5f 6.5f	SA 9/25/26 R7 DMR 8/8/26 R5 DMR 7/19/26 R6	Clm 12500n2l Clm 12500n2l Clm 12500n2l	B C+ B	88 74 81	1 3 2	NASAL_S,WARM,BOS NASAL_S,SLOG NASAL_S,SAVED,MOVE	oN:TG30:IMPROVED TRIPGRADE over last 30 DAYS:2 levels:Grades=C+ to BoG:NT:Last Race HIGHEST OptixFIG in last 48 months:88:88\|74\|81\|76\|77\|70\|70\|72\|68\|73\|46\|0oG:2LO:SECOND START after 45+ day LAYOFF:thisrace-30-48	0.64	0.79	-1.67	-0.24	.-. L-b

TEE N OFF

AYUSO ARMANDO

KNAPP STEVE

14.5

B-

EXACTA

Reasoning: [h:5-TEE N OFF] is a proven route closer with a validated [rs:C:pass] runstyle and the largest Square on both plot views, giving him a reliable late kick for underneath shares. He has hit the board in three of his last four starts at this distance and fits the class level well.

Downsides: [h:5-TEE N OFF] is a one-dimensional closer in his eighth start of an extended form cycle who often runs [keyword:PLODDY] and needs pace help to win.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

[h:5-TEE N OFF] is deep into an eight-race form cycle that began in April, showing a slight dip last out with a [og:C+] grade after stringing together three consecutive [og:B-] efforts. While he recorded a [a:NTLP] in his last start, his overall figure pattern has plateaued and suggests minor share capability rather than a winning peak.

Race 8 of cycle: He has raced seven consecutive times without a 45-day layoff since his April 19 return, making today the eighth start of his current cycle. His form is maintaining a steady, one-paced level.

Speed

Neutral

[h:5-TEE N OFF] has a slightly below average Speed Index, though he has reached the middle of today's expected figure range in three of his last four starts. His strong late pace figures, highlighted by his recent [a:NTLP], keep him competitive for the exotics.

Plot

Neutral

He holds a slightly above average Plot Index with a validated [rs:C:pass] runstyle, sitting in the lower-left and lower-right quadrants with a large Square. His deep-closing geometry makes him heavily reliant on early pace pressure to set up his late run.

Class

Neutral

Carrying an exactly average Class Index, [h:5-TEE N OFF] has repeatedly competed against this exact claiming level and earned minor awards. However, his lack of a [og:B] grade or better in his last ten starts limits his win profile.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8f	SA 9/27/26 R5 LRC 9/12/26 R3 DMR 8/27/26 R8	Clm 16000n3l Clm 12500n2x Clm 16000n3l	C+ B- B-	74 82 79	5 3 2	COVER,SAVED SAVED COVER,MOVE,PLODDY		-0.33	0.21	0	-0.12	.-. L-b

DEALERS SPECIAL

ROSARIO JOEL

BALTAS RICHARD

1.4

1.1

C+

TIER 2-

Reasoning: [h:7-DEALERS SPECIAL] brings the highest Speed, Class, and Plot Indexes in the field as he drops in class and transitions from turf to dirt off a 49-day freshening. His last race featured a hidden-form [og:B-] effort where he made a [keyword:MOVE] and showed [keyword:CLOSE] after a [keyword:SHUFFLE], making him a major player if he transfers his turf capability to the main track.

Downsides: [h:7-DEALERS SPECIAL] is unproven on dirt with zero in-the-money finishes from two main-track attempts and has a history of [keyword:SLOG] and [keyword:GATE] issues.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

[h:7-DEALERS SPECIAL] begins a new short-term form cycle returning from a 49-day layoff after a competitive two-race summer turf campaign at Del Mar. His prior race showed positive life with [keyword:MOVE] and [keyword:CLOSE] notes despite traffic, suggesting he enters this fresh cycle in good physical order.

Race 1 of cycle: With 49 days since his September 6 outing, this race marks the first start of a new short-term form cycle. He removes blinkers today and drops into a softer spot for his main-track return.

Speed

Positive

[h:7-DEALERS SPECIAL] has a well above average Speed Index, regularly recording turf figures that exceed the top of today's expected range. Even in his lone recent dirt route last year, he recorded a figure that sits right at the top of today's par range.

Plot

Positive

He owns an above average Plot Index, positioning in the upper-right quadrant as a Square on the surface/distance view. While his surface/distance runstyle validation is unknown due to limited recent dirt starts, his stalking geometry suits the projected race flow.

Class

Positive

Boasting an above average Class Index, [h:7-DEALERS SPECIAL] has been competing against significantly stronger turf fields with higher race ratings than today's par. The class relief into this claiming condition is a major positive factor.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
T T T	9f 8f 8f	DMR 9/6/26 R3 DMR 8/14/26 R4 SA 6/15/26 R1	Clm 25000 Clm 32000 Clm 30000n3l	B- C+ B-	86 90 78	6 7 5	COVER,MOVE,SHUFFLE,CLOSE WARM,NO_COVER NASAL_S,GATE,SLOG,SAVED,COVER		1.55	1.08	0.84	3.47	.-. L-

DATS MS. BLAME

JARAMILLO E

O'NEILL DOUG

2.6

TIER 2+

Reasoning: [h:8-DATS MS. BLAME] enters in strong dirt route form for this level, following up a gritty [og:B+] victory two back with a solid [og:B] runner-up effort where she made a sustained [keyword:MOVE] and recorded a [a:NTLP:Last Race HIGHEST Late Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's Late Pace Par]. With very low pace scenario confidence, her clear edge in recent dirt route grades and proven finishing ability make her the primary contender.

Downsides: Despite her strong recent efforts, [h:8-DATS MS. BLAME] plots in the lower-right quadrant with a slightly below average Plot Index and could be left with too much to do if the early pace turns out soft.

Assessment

Form

Positive

[h:8-DATS MS. BLAME] is thriving in the latter stages of her current form cycle since switching back to dirt routes, pairing top-level speed figures with strong [og:B+] and [og:B] grades. Crucially, she did not regress on a quick ten-day turnaround in her last start despite a [keyword:HARD] effort two races back, and she now returns on 42 days of rest ready to maintain her peak form.

Race 6 of cycle: This is the sixth start of her current form cycle, which began off a 55-day layoff on May 30 and has continued without a break of 45 days or more. Her progression over the last two dirt route starts combined with a [a:NTLP] alert shows sustained positive momentum.

Speed

Positive

Although her overall Speed Index is slightly below average due to earlier turf races, her last two dirt route figures sit squarely in the upper half of today's expected winning range. Coupled with her [a:NTLP] alert, she possesses both the overall speed and late kick required to handle this field.

Plot

Neutral

She plots in the lower-right quadrant as a Square on both standard and surface/distance views with a validated [rs:PC:pass] and [rs:C:pass] runstyle. While her large Square confirms strong late-pace capability, her slightly below average Plot Index reflects positional vulnerability if the early pace does not materialize.

Class

Positive

[h:8-DATS MS. BLAME] holds an exactly average Class Index and has proven thoroughly competitive against older rivals at this exact claiming level. Her consecutive [og:B+] and [og:B] grades at today's par level confirm she is properly spotted to win.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 5.5f	LRC 9/13/26 R3 DMR 9/3/26 R2 DMR 7/31/26 R2	Clm 20000n3l Clm 12500n2l Clm 16000	B B+ B-	81 81 71	2 1 5	NASAL_S,WARM,WARM_UP,COVER,MOVE NASAL_S,TROUBLE_S,MOVE,CLOSE,HARD,HOT NASAL_S,WARM,SAVED	oN:RW2:RED KEYWORDS in 2nd RACE back:1\|HARD*oG:NTLP:Last Race HIGHEST Late Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's Late Pace Par:90:Par=81:90\|83\|85\|81\|26\|50\|85\|77\|70\|64\|74\|85	-0.28	-0.66	0	-0.94	.-. L-

Scratches

6 Meeking
Reason: Veterinarian

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Optix AI Analysis