OptixPlot | SA (R4) 2026-10-24

PN	$2 Win	$2 Place	$2 Show
4	$3.80	$2.40	$2.10
6	-	$5.00	$3.60
3	-	-	$3.60

Wager Type	Winners	Paid
$1 Exacta	4- 6 4 - 6	$6.90
$1 Trifecta	4- 6- 3 4 - 6 - 3	$29.70
$0.10 Superfecta	4- 6- 3- 5 4 - 6 - 3 - 5	$9.97
$2 Daily Double	1- 4 1 - 4	$7.00

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Odds

Fin

oNg

Your Ratings

Focus Ratings

Fair Odds

Edge

Insights

VODKA VODKA

VAN DYKE DRAYDEN

ORDONEZ AGGIE

6.8

TIER 3-

Reasoning: [h:1-VODKA VODKA] is protected at the Tier 3 floor by his above average Class Index, having competed against tough company earlier this year. However, he enters on a negative form cycle pattern in his [a:3LO:THIRD START after 45+ day LAYOFF] after regressing sharply to a [og:C] grade with [keyword:NO_KEEP] last out, and holds below average Speed and Plot Indexes.

Downsides: [h:1-VODKA VODKA] showed severe figure and grade regression in his second start off the layoff, plots with large circles in unfavorable quadrants, and has a [rs:EP:neutral] mismatch.

Assessment

Form

Negative

[h:1-VODKA VODKA] is in his [a:3LO:THIRD START after 45+ day LAYOFF] and triggers the negative layoff regression pattern after stepping backward from a [og:C+] to a [og:C] in his second start off the bench. Although he had early contact ([keyword:TROUBLE]), he showed [keyword:NO_KEEP] and [keyword:NO_PUSH] while recording an uncompetitive speed figure, signaling declining form.

Race 3 of cycle: This is the third race in his current form cycle that started off a 146-day layoff in August, followed by 28-day spacing into both his September start and today's race.

Speed

Negative

He has a below average Speed Index, and both starts since his August layoff have produced figures well below today's par range. His weak late pace metrics confirm his large circle plot shapes.

Plot

Negative

His Plot Index is below average, and he carries a [rs:EP:neutral] validation with a fail on the surface/distance plot. Plotting in the lower quadrants with large circles on both views leaves him vulnerable in a race with stronger early and late pace rivals.

Class

Positive

He holds an above average Class Index from competing in higher-rated stakes and allowance events over the past year. However, he has not been competitive at those levels recently.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	9f 7f 9f	SA 9/26/26 R8 DMR 8/29/26 R9 SUN 4/5/26 R11	Goodwood-G1 POBrien-G2 SunlndPkB250k	C C+ B	58 86 97	8 7 1	NASAL_S,SAVED,TROUBLE,NO_KEEP,NO_PUSH TROUBLE_S,FREE,MOVE NASAL_S,TROUBLE_S,RUSH,WIDE,BOS	oG:3LO:THIRD START after 45+ day LAYOFF:thisrace-28-28-146	-1.17	-1.11	0.93	-1.35	.-. -

MALARCHUK

RISPOLI UMBERTO

MCCARTHY MICHAEL W

3.6

C+

TIER 2

Reasoning: [h:2-MALARCHUK] boasts above average Speed and Class Indexes and cuts back to an eight-furlong distance where he plots in the upper-left quadrant with a large square on the surface/distance view. He enters off a fresh 63-day reset after chasing longer ten-furlong paces and owns an [a:NTEP:Last Race HIGHEST 4f Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's 4f Pace Par] alert that pairs well with his [rs:EP:pass] runstyle.

Downsides: [h:2-MALARCHUK] returns off a two-month freshening after a below-average [og:C+] effort and carries a circle on the standard plot view.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

[h:2-MALARCHUK] begins a new short-term form cycle returning from a 63-day layoff after three consecutive starts off layoffs of 45 days or more. His prior two starts came at a demanding ten-furlong distance against strong company where he earned [keyword:PERFECT] and [keyword:NO_KEEP] two back before shuffling wide last out, so cutting back to a mile offers a logical spot to rebound.

Race 1 of cycle: This is the first race of a new form cycle because he enters off a 63-day break, exceeding the 45-day threshold.

Speed

Positive

With an above average Speed Index and an [a:NTEP:Last Race HIGHEST 4f Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's 4f Pace Par] alert, his recent speed figures fall squarely within today's required range. His early velocity and proven late pace at eight furlongs give him a solid edge.

Plot

Positive

He holds a [rs:EP:pass] rating and a slightly above average Plot Index, positioning prominently in the upper-left quadrant on both views. While his standard shape is a circle from longer marathons, his surface/distance shape turns into a strong square at this shorter route distance.

Class

Positive

He holds an above average Class Index and has consistently competed in high-level stakes and allowance races that exceed today's par rating. Dropping out of tougher ten-furlong events makes him well-suited for this spot.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	10f 10f 9f	DMR 8/22/26 R10 SA 5/25/26 R5 SUN 4/5/26 R11	PacifcCl-G1 GoldCup-G2 SunlndPkB250k	C+ B- B-	96 97 95	6 2 2	TROUBLE-,SHUFFLE,WIDE NASAL_S,PERFECT,NO_KEEP GATE,PRESSED,SAVED,TURF?	oN:RW2:RED KEYWORDS in 2nd RACE back:1\|PERFECT*oG:NTEP:Last Race HIGHEST 4f Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's 4f Pace Par:99:Par=89:99\|91\|95\|88\|90\|71\|83\|78\|88\|77\|70	0.97	0.72	0.93	2.62	.-. -b

ARROWTHEGREAT

AYUSO ARMANDO

BLACKER DANIEL

4.7

B-

TIER 3+

Reasoning: [h:3-ARROWTHEGREAT] owns a well above average Plot Index and a [rs:EP:pass] profile, plotting with squares in the upper-left quadrant across both views while sporting a strong record at this eight-furlong distance. However, he is returning off a 55-day layoff following a flattering [keyword:TACTIC+] ride and steps up with a below average Class Index.

Downsides: [h:3-ARROWTHEGREAT] benefited from an optimal [keyword:TACTIC+] ride in a softer race last out, faces a class test today, and has interrupted spacing with back-to-back layoffs.

Assessment

Form

Negative

[h:3-ARROWTHEGREAT] enters on a two-race winning streak ([a:2WIN:WON last 2 or more races IN A ROW]), but both starts are separated by layoffs of over 45 days, including a 378-day absence prior to his last win and a 55-day break coming into today. Furthermore, his last victory carried a red [keyword:TACTIC+] keyword and an [a:RW1:RED KEYWORDS in last RACE] alert after saving ground behind a four-way duel, creating regression risk as he steps up in class.

Race 1 of cycle: This is the first start of a new short-term form cycle following a 55-day layoff since his August outing.

Speed

Positive

His Speed Index is slightly above average, and his last-out figure reached the top of today's expected range while earning an [a:NTLP:Last Race HIGHEST Late Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's Late Pace Par] alert. However, that figure was aided by an ideal trip and pace setup.

Plot

Positive

He boasts a well above average Plot Index and a validated [rs:EP:pass] runstyle, sitting in the favorable upper-left quadrant with squares on both standard and surface/distance views. His tactical speed and finishing square fit today's race shape well.

Class

Negative

He carries a below average Class Index, having accumulated his wins against softer competition than what he faces today. Stepping up against proven stakes-level runners represents a tougher assignment.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8f	DMR 8/30/26 R9 EMD 8/17/25 R9 DMR 7/27/25 R2	OClm 100000b LgaMileL125k OClm 80000b	B B B	100 92 100	1 1 2	TACTIC+,TROUBLE_S,RUSH,SAVED,MOVE WARM,SAVED,NO_LEAD,MOVE WARM_UP,RUSH,PRESSED,SAVED,OTHER,BLANKET	oN:RW1:RED KEYWORDS in last RACE:1\|TACTIC+*oX:2WIN:WON last 2 or more races IN A ROW:2:1\|1\|2	0.35	1.58	-1.3	0.63	.-. -b

MR. A. P.

JARAMILLO E

CERIN VLADIMIR

1.8

0.9

TIER 2+

Reasoning: [h:4-MR. A. P.] is an improving three-year-old who held his own against older horses on dirt last out, earning a solid [og:B-] while recording a figure right at the top of today's expected range. He holds an above average Speed Index and an aligned [rs:PC:pass] profile with squares across both views, giving him the ideal tactical stalking trip behind the early speed in this small field.

Downsides: [h:4-MR. A. P.] has a slightly below average Class Index compared to the seasoned older stakes runners in this field.

Assessment

Form

Positive

[h:4-MR. A. P.] is in a positive form cycle, making his fifth start since a long layoff and showing strong progression in his return to dirt last out. Facing older rivals as the lone sophomore, he chased inside to earn a [og:B-] and an [a:TG30:IMPROVED TRIPGRADE over last 30 DAYS] alert, signaling he is maintaining peak form and poised to move forward cutting back slightly to a mile.

Race 5 of cycle: This is the fifth race of the current form cycle that began off a long layoff in July, as all subsequent starts have occurred within 45 days of each other.

Speed

Positive

He carries an above average Speed Index and posted a figure in his dirt return that sits at the upper end of today's winning range. His speed and pace figures on dirt are strong and consistent with a winning effort.

Plot

Positive

He plots with squares in both the standard lower-right and surface/distance upper-left quadrants, supported by a [rs:PC:pass] validation and a slightly above average Plot Index. This two-dimensional tactical profile is ideal for a six-horse field under a sustained pace scenario.

Class

Neutral

His Class Index is slightly below average solely because his earlier campaign was restricted to three-year-olds and allowance company. However, he proved he belongs at this level in his most recent start by competing effectively against higher-rated older horses.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D T T	9f 8f 8.5f	SA 9/26/26 R8 KD 9/7/26 R9 DMR 8/13/26 R1	Goodwood-G1 GnRunnerL1750k OClm 80000n1x	B- C+ B	99 77 97	4 9 1	NASAL_S,SAVED,OTHER NASAL_S,TACTIC-,SHUFFLE,WIDE,TROUBLE- NASAL_S,WARM,PERFECT,RUSH,NO_COVER,MOVE	oN:TG30:IMPROVED TRIPGRADE over last 30 DAYS:1 levels:Grades=C+ to B-*oN:RW3:RED KEYWORDS in 3rd RACE back:1\|PERFECT	0.76	0.5	-0.19	1.07	.-. -

INDISPENSABLE

HERNANDEZ JUAN J

SADLER JOHN W

15.8

C+

TIER 3

Reasoning: [h:5-INDISPENSABLE] holds an above average Class Index which protects his tier floor, and he owns a solid record at today's eight-furlong distance with a positive [keyword:ROUTER] projection. However, he enters off a 55-day freshening following consecutive [og:C+] efforts where he looked [keyword:PLODDY] and carries a below average Plot Index.

Downsides: [h:5-INDISPENSABLE] plots poorly in the lower-right quadrant with a [rs:EP:neutral] validation and has fallen short of today's speed range in his recent starts.

Assessment

Form

Negative

[h:5-INDISPENSABLE] starts a new form cycle off a 55-day layoff after failing to fire in two starts during his summer campaign, earning consecutive [og:C+] grades. In his last start behind [h:3-ARROWTHEGREAT], he raced wide and was tagged as [keyword:PLODDY], showing dull form that requires a turnaround.

Race 1 of cycle: This race marks the first start of a new short-term form cycle following a 55-day break since late August.

Speed

Negative

His Speed Index is slightly below average, and his figures from the past ten months fall below the bottom of today's winning range. He needs to rediscover his older speed figures from last year to contend.

Plot

Negative

He carries a below average Plot Index and a [rs:EP:neutral] rating due to failing on the surface/distance view. Plotting deep in the lower-right quadrant with a circle on the surface/distance view puts him at a severe tactical disadvantage for an [rs:EP:neutral] type.

Class

Positive

His above average Class Index is his strongest asset, reflecting past competitiveness in graded and high-level stakes company. He drops slightly in class rating from his winter campaign, keeping him relevant for a minor share.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8.5f	DMR 8/30/26 R9 DMR 7/25/26 R8 SA 12/28/25 R6	OClm 100000b OClm 100000n2x LPncayJr-G2	C+ C+ C	91 85 90	6 4 6	FREE,WIDE,PLODDY,ROUTER SLOG,SAVED,MOVE WARM,TROUBLE_S,RUSH,WIDE,DROP?		-0.72	-1.01	0.93	-0.8	.-. -b

LYELL'S SONG

LEZCANO ABEL

GLATT MARK

8.7

B-

EXACTA

Reasoning: [h:6-LYELL'S SONG] made a respectable return off a 358-day layoff behind [h:3-ARROWTHEGREAT] last out, earning a [og:B-] with a [keyword:MOVE] that reached the lower end of today's figure range. However, he enters off another 55-day break with a below average Class Index and a [keyword:DROP?] projection that is not met today.

Downsides: [h:6-LYELL'S SONG] was aided by [keyword:FLOW] last out while showing class weakness ([keyword:DROP?]), plots in the lower quadrants with a circle on the surface/distance view, and faces stiffer class here.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

[h:6-LYELL'S SONG] begins a new form cycle off a 55-day layoff after returning from nearly a year away in late August. While he earned a [og:B-] in that comeback, his effort was aided by [keyword:FLOW] and flagged with [keyword:DROP?] due to class weakness, making interrupted spacing into a tougher race a concern.

Race 1 of cycle: This is the first race of a new short-term form cycle because 55 days have elapsed since his previous start in August.

Speed

Neutral

His Speed Index is slightly below average, though his comeback figure sits just inside the bottom of today's expected range. He lacks the early velocity of the top contenders and will need trip help to hit the board.

Plot

Negative

Despite a [rs:EP:pass] validation, his Plot Index is slightly below average as he sits in the lower-left standard quadrant and lower-right surface/distance quadrant. His surface/distance shape degrades to a circle, limiting his finishing punch against better-plotted rivals.

Class

Negative

He carries a below average Class Index and received a [keyword:DROP?] projection in his last start, indicating he needed easier company to be effective. Stepping into this stakes race without the projected class relief is a significant negative.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8f	DMR 8/30/26 R9 DMR 9/6/25 R8 DMR 8/9/25 R6	OClm 100000b OClm 50000n1x OClm 50000n1x	B- B B	95 94 95	4 1 2	COVER,MOVE,FLOW,DROP? COVER,MOVE,HOT,TURF? SAVED,MOVE,GRIT-,OTHER		-0.11	-0.68	-1.3	-2.09	.-. -b

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