OptixPlot | SA (R3) 2026-10-24

PN	$2 Win	$2 Place	$2 Show
1	$3.60	$2.80	$2.10
3	-	$3.40	$2.20
4	-	-	$2.60

Wager Type	Winners	Paid
$1 Exacta	1- 3 1 - 3	$5.50
$1 Trifecta	1- 3- 4 1 - 3 - 4	$10.00
$0.10 Superfecta	1- 3- 4- 6 1 - 3 - 4 - 6	$1.36
$2 Daily Double	2- 1 2 - 1	$8.60

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Odds

Fin

oNg

Your Ratings

Focus Ratings

Fair Odds

Edge

Insights

SEA'S NO JOKE

HERNANDEZ JUAN J

BAFFERT BOB

0.6

0.8

B-

TIER 3-

Reasoning: [h:1-SEA'S NO JOKE] is a lightly raced juvenile who encountered [keyword:TROUBLE_S], [keyword:RUSH], and [keyword:TRAFFIC] in her sprint debut while earning a [og:C+] grade. Stretching out off a 63-day layoff, she projects to be forwardly placed from the upper-left quadrant in a paceless race shape.

Downsides: [h:1-SEA'S NO JOKE] was [keyword:WARM] prior to her debut, lacks proven route stamina with a circle shape on the plot, and must improve considerably on her 61 speed figure.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

[h:1-SEA'S NO JOKE] starts a new short-term form cycle returning from a 63-day layoff after a troubled debut. Under Developing Horse rules, debut leniency and early-career layoff forgiveness apply, especially since she faced gate trouble ([keyword:TROUBLE_S]) and [keyword:TRAFFIC] in her lone outing.

Race 1 of cycle: This is the first race of a new short-term form cycle because she returns from a 63-day break (DLR >= 45) following her debut.

Speed

Neutral

[h:1-SEA'S NO JOKE] has a slightly below average Speed Index based on her 61 debut speed figure. She showed early velocity after a [keyword:RUSH] into a fast sprint pace, and a more relaxed early trip around two turns could help her carry her speed farther.

Plot

Neutral

[h:1-SEA'S NO JOKE] has a slightly below average Plot Index and plots in the upper-left quadrant with a circle on the Standard and Surface maps. While the circle raises stamina questions stretching out to a route, her forward positional projection is an asset in this five-horse field.

Class

Neutral

[h:1-SEA'S NO JOKE] carries a slightly below average Class Index after finishing seventh in a Del Mar maiden special weight sprint. As a 2-year-old with only one lifetime start, her class profile is treated as neutral with room to develop.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D - -	5.5f - -	DMR 8/22/26 R6 - -	Md Sp Wt - -	C+ ZZ ZZ	61	7 -1 -1	WARM,TROUBLE_S,RUSH,TRAFFIC . .		-0.31	-0.14	-0.5	-0.95	.-. -b

FOREWARN

SMITH M E

MANDELLA RICHARD E

4.5

4.6

B-

TIER 2+

Reasoning: [h:3-FOREWARN] stands out on her well above average Class Index and above average Speed and Plot Indexes as she returns to the main track. She enters on a positive form trajectory after earning consecutive [og:B-] grades in turf routes, capped by a [keyword:CLOSE] and [keyword:GALLOP+] effort with a [a:TG30] alert that signals readiness for a dirt route.

Downsides: [h:3-FOREWARN] earned a [og:C+] with a [keyword:SLOG] and [keyword:DROP?] projection in her lone dirt sprint debut, leaving a slight question mark as she transitions back to the main track.

Assessment

Form

Positive

[h:3-FOREWARN] is in the fourth start of her current short-term form cycle and shows an improving pattern under the Developing Horse Curve. She moved forward nicely in her last start to record a 76 speed figure alongside [keyword:CLOSE] and [keyword:GALLOP+] keywords, projecting continued positive progression today.

Race 4 of cycle: This is the fourth consecutive race in her career without a layoff of 45 days or more, as her prior starts were spaced at 27, 27, and 22 days.

Speed

Positive

[h:3-FOREWARN] owns an above average Speed Index and enters with the top last-out speed figure (76) and career-best figure (77) in the field. Her recent turf route velocity and strong late finish align well with the demands of today's distance.

Plot

Positive

[h:3-FOREWARN] boasts an above average Plot Index, positioning favorably in the upper-left quadrant with a strong square shape on both the Standard and Surface plots. Although her run style is unvalidated and the RED PlotFit lowers overall plot reliability, her tactical position and late pace capability fit well in this small field.

Class

Positive

[h:3-FOREWARN] holds a well above average Class Index and has consistently faced top-tier maiden special weight company at Del Mar and Santa Anita. Her consecutive [og:B-] efforts against solid race ratings make her the clear class of this five-horse field.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
T T D	8f 8f 6.5f	SA 10/2/26 R9 DMR 9/5/26 R9 DMR 8/9/26 R2	Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt	B- B- C+	76 61 77	5 6 3	CLOSE,GALLOP+ COVER SLOG,OTHER,DROP?		1.27	1.17	2	4.44	.-. -b

GRADUATION DAY

RISPOLI UMBERTO

DAMATO PHILIP

3.5

2.3

C+

TIER 3+

Reasoning: [h:4-GRADUATION DAY] showed promise in her turf route debut when earning a [og:B-] and recording both [keyword:MOVE] and [keyword:CLOSE] keywords despite a [keyword:SLOG] and [keyword:COVER]. Under the Developing Horse Curve, those positive trip notes carry 60% weighting and suggest she can move forward if she handles the switch to dirt.

Downsides: [h:4-GRADUATION DAY] is unproven on the dirt surface, returns off a 49-day layoff, and plots in the lower-right quadrant in a paceless setup.

Assessment

Form

Positive

[h:4-GRADUATION DAY] initiates a new short-term form cycle off a 49-day break following a single career start. Her debut effort was encouraging for a juvenile filly, overcoming a [keyword:SLOG] and [keyword:COVER] to make a [keyword:MOVE] and [keyword:CLOSE] for fourth, pointing to natural second-out improvement.

Race 1 of cycle: This is the first start of a new short-term form cycle as she returns from a 49-day layoff (DLR >= 45) following her career debut.

Speed

Neutral

[h:4-GRADUATION DAY] carries a slightly below average Speed Index after earning a 62 speed figure in her debut. Under the Developing Horse Curve, a 2-year-old making her second lifetime start can project significant natural figure improvement, though she must prove she can transfer her late pace to the main track.

Plot

Neutral

[h:4-GRADUATION DAY] has a slightly below average Plot Index and sits in the lower-right quadrant with a square shape on both the Standard and Distance plots. While the square indicates late finishing ability, her deep-closing position could leave her with too much work to do in a five-horse field.

Class

Neutral

[h:4-GRADUATION DAY] has a slightly below average Class Index, but she debuted in the exact same September 5 Del Mar turf route as [h:3-FOREWARN] and finished two spots ahead of her in fourth with a [og:B-] grade. She fits comfortably against today's competition.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
T - -	8f - -	DMR 9/5/26 R9 - -	Md Sp Wt - -	B- ZZ ZZ	62	4 -1 -1	NASAL_S,SLOG,COVER,MOVE,CLOSE . .		-0.3	-0.49	-0.5	-1.29	.-. -b

MISS ATHENS

JARAMILLO E

BAFFERT BOB

14.6

TIER 3

Reasoning: [h:5-MISS ATHENS] earned a premium positive [keyword:TROUBLES+] keyword in her sprint debut when stumbling badly at the break, yet still flashed mid-race ability with [keyword:FREE] and [keyword:MOVE] notations alongside a [keyword:PREP?] tag. Heavily weighted at 60% for form and notes as a lightly raced 2-year-old, her debut qualifies for a Throwaway/Projection upgrade stretching out to two turns.

Downsides: [h:5-MISS ATHENS] recorded a well below average Speed Index and Plot Index in her debut, and her trip notes cautioned that she could require a class drop based on overall visuals.

Assessment

Form

Positive

[h:5-MISS ATHENS] is making the second start of her current short-term form cycle just 20 days after her debut. Although she earned a [og:C] grade, the effort was severely compromised at the start with [keyword:TROUBLES+] and tagged as a [keyword:PREP?], allowing for substantial second-out progression under the Developing Horse Curve.

Race 2 of cycle: This is the second race of her current form cycle, coming back on a 20-day turnaround after her first lifetime start.

Speed

Negative

[h:5-MISS ATHENS] registered a well below average Speed Index following a 50 speed figure in her debut. She needs a major forward leap to reach the competitive figure range of [h:3-FOREWARN] and [h:6-LUXOR MAGIC], though her mid-race [keyword:MOVE] after stumbling hints at better underlying speed.

Plot

Negative

[h:5-MISS ATHENS] has a well below average Plot Index, plotting in the lower-right quadrant with a large circle on the Standard and Surface plots. Because her debut was marred by severe break trouble ([keyword:TROUBLES+]) and the race has a RED PlotFit, her poor plot geometry is not harshly penalized.

Class

Negative

[h:5-MISS ATHENS] holds a slightly below average Class Index after finishing eighth in her Santa Anita maiden special weight debut. While developing horses receive class leniency, the extended trip note suggesting she could require a drop tempers enthusiasm.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D - -	6f - -	SA 10/4/26 R7 - -	Md Sp Wt - -	C ZZ ZZ	50	8 -1 -1	TROUBLES+,FREE,MOVE,OTHER,COLD,PREP? . .		-1.51	-1.54	-0.5	-3.55	.-. -b

LUXOR MAGIC

KIMURA KAZUSHI

O'NEILL DOUG

8.5

TIER 2

Reasoning: [h:6-LUXOR MAGIC] is the only runner proven at today's dirt route conditions, having earned a [og:B-] with a [keyword:MOVE] when finishing second at this distance prior to a freshening. She owns an above average Plot Index, a slightly above average Speed Index, and a validated [rs:C:pass] run style.

Downsides: [h:6-LUXOR MAGIC] returns from a 58-day layoff with a slightly below average Class Index and faces a stronger rival in [h:3-FOREWARN].

Assessment

Form

Positive

[h:6-LUXOR MAGIC] begins a new short-term form cycle returning from a 58-day freshening. Because she is a 2-year-old under the Developing Horse Curve, the early-career layoff is treated as developmental spacing rather than regression, especially after she rebounded with a [og:B-] and [keyword:MOVE] in her prior start.

Race 1 of cycle: This is the first race of a new short-term form cycle because [h:6-LUXOR MAGIC] is returning from a 58-day break, which exceeds the 45-day layoff threshold.

Speed

Positive

[h:6-LUXOR MAGIC] brings a slightly above average Speed Index, supported by a 69 speed figure in her last dirt route and a 73 in a sprint three starts back. She is one of the few runners with established dirt route pace figures and has room to progress as a juvenile.

Plot

Positive

[h:6-LUXOR MAGIC] holds an above average Plot Index and is the only runner in the field with a validated [rs:C:pass] run style across both Standard and Surface/Distance plots. She plots in the upper-left quadrant with a square on the Standard map and upper-right with a square on the Surface/Distance map, giving her a versatile tactical edge.

Class

Neutral

[h:6-LUXOR MAGIC] carries a slightly below average Class Index, though she proved competitive at this maiden special weight level when finishing second at Del Mar last out. Under Developing Horse rules, her slightly lower class rating is treated with leniency.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 6f	DMR 8/27/26 R2 ELP 7/26/26 R2 CD 6/28/26 R3	Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt	B- C B-	69 57 73	2 8 5	NASAL_S,SAVED,MOVE,OTHER NASAL_S,NO_KEEP NASAL_S,SLOG,TROUBLE_S,SAVED,MOVE		0.73	1	-0.5	1.23	.-. -

Scratches

2 Real As It Gets
Reason: Veterinarian

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